I'm Decommitting From Eastern Pony Keg College And Flipping To Bookworm U
Another awkward piece of timing, with the regular blog scheduled and news breaking left and right. We are nearing, depending on your outlook, either the apex or the nadir of college football's silliest season, recruiting and National Letter of Intent Signing Day. Much grumbling is roiling the repose of the traditionalists, who decry the escalation of committing to one school, decommitting, and/or "flipping" to a competing football factory.
I am not as agitated as some, and actually think that reneging on the first promise or two is a healthy thing for both the schools and the young warriors involved. Face it, these are by and large not sophisticated young men, often operating with limited familial guidance. To be wooed by a media star coach from a legendary athletic program is a heady thing, and it is easy to think first about impressing one's posse and not much at all about life after a few concussions.
Committing, then altering that commitment means, in the better case, that there has been time to think through objectives, probabilities, and prospects - and to weigh relevant events taking place between original commitment and Signing Day. Things such as coaching changes, other recruits, injuries, the reality and price to pay of making the NFL and staying there, and how to make a living beyond being a casino greeter, club bouncer, or used car salesman.
The media hype and general adulation only add to the pressure of making a good decision. And, enhance the possibility that the first call is not necessarily the right call. I personally think the timeline is about right, allowing thoughtful reflection, and a do-over on where to go to school - and why. The early signing advocated by the SEC would make the problem worse, imho, by forcing shotgun weddings onto large children who deserve better.
To further confound the issue, the universities involved are betting the big chips and rolling the dice with their eyes closed - they have much to lose from wrong commitments from easily won-over targets who turn out to not quite fit, and/or are not quite as good as the looked to be in high school. Here's the progression: In high school, the prized recruits are men among boys; in college they may be found out to be simply men among other men; in the NFL, they reveal themselves to be men among supermen. The history is replete with examples.
We encounter parallels in going after top-tier talent in the world of supply chain management. Our greatest handicap may be that we do not have the luxury of game videos from high school or college to break down, assess, and interpret. So we wind up with a few duds, or too many merely adequate performers.
Our talent targets also face the wrong commitment challenge. They generally don't know what they really want to do, or become. They may not appreciate the context of how they can advance or retard enterprise performance. So, the first commitment is often quickly followed by decommitment as they begin to figure out what their world can and should be. There is often a second decommitment, as the search for the right slot in the right program continues.
We usually, and should not, come to negative conclusions because of these career shifts. (We may begin to ask difficult questions after five or six quick moves, though.)
But, all of this is really intended to motivate you to think through how you look for, and at, prospective incoming talent. What's the fit? How positive is the admittedly incomplete evidence of performance and potential? Do you actually have what it takes to hold on to the new talent? Can you provide an attractive and rewarding developmental pathway for mutual benefit? Does the candidate fill a gap, shore up a weak point, or add depth where you are already strong?
Hmmm, the more I rattle on, the more it sounds as if supply chain management and college football have something to learn from one another when it comes to handling the recruiting challenge. Myself, I'll be up late on Wednesday evening, analyzing and agonizing over the day's results, and wondering what will be who's payoff where.
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